Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.044956 0.052434 0.060651 0.070335 0.081418 0.093688 0.108284
2025-06-01 0.033760 0.043529 0.055256 0.070302 0.089023 0.111470 0.140337
2025-06-08 0.025499 0.035960 0.049540 0.068309 0.093403 0.125599 0.169799
2025-06-15 0.021521 0.032820 0.048516 0.071634 0.104479 0.149067 0.213676
2025-06-22 0.017610 0.028880 0.045544 0.071553 0.110587 0.166318 0.251025
2025-06-29 0.014224 0.024980 0.041839 0.069606 0.113426 0.178921 0.282850
2025-07-06 0.011828 0.022134 0.039181 0.068671 0.117374 0.193223 0.318289
2025-07-13 0.010746 0.021261 0.039493 0.072400 0.128912 0.220060 0.375316
2025-07-20 0.009657 0.020158 0.039199 0.074975 0.138712 0.244932 0.431405
2025-07-27 0.008156 0.017991 0.036664 0.073215 0.140793 0.257180 0.467752
2025-08-03 0.007044 0.016373 0.034869 0.072489 0.144486 0.272304 0.510059
2025-08-10 0.005952 0.014582 0.032453 0.070212 0.144980 0.281735 0.543096
2025-08-17 0.005074 0.013111 0.030493 0.068642 0.146770 0.293927 0.582727
2025-08-24 0.004488 0.012190 0.029535 0.068967 0.152271 0.313446 0.637497
2025-08-31 0.003829 0.010957 0.027704 0.067183 0.153293 0.324536 0.677407
2025-09-07 0.003606 0.010773 0.028207 0.070550 0.165331 0.358056 0.763148
2025-09-14 0.003198 0.010021 0.027262 0.070515 0.170096 0.377497 0.822833
2025-09-21 0.002747 0.009048 0.025619 0.068616 0.170535 0.388114 0.865642
2025-09-28 0.002407 0.008317 0.024460 0.067704 0.173052 0.403209 0.918751
2025-10-05 0.002308 0.008289 0.025127 0.071392 0.186559 0.442787 1.025983
2025-10-12 0.002168 0.008102 0.025337 0.073937 0.197621 0.477940 1.126414
2025-10-19 0.001886 0.007389 0.023975 0.072200 0.198157 0.489875 1.177615
2025-10-26 0.001673 0.006859 0.023045 0.071485 0.201112 0.507454 1.242494